Pillar C

Pillar C

Resilience of Urban and Energy Sectors to Climate and Anthropogenic Disasters

According to the United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (UNDRR), in the period 2000 to 2019, there were 7,348 major recorded disaster events claiming 1.23 million lives, affecting 4.2 billion people (many on more than one occasion) resulting in approximately US$2.97 trillion in global economic losses.

Therefore, building effective urban resilience is a non-negotiable next step for the sake of Europe’s survival. Leveraging high-fidelity data and evidence-based planning to mitigate and adapt to climatic, natural, and anthropogenic impacts will directly improve global health, energy security, and air quality.

Key Gaps in Current Urban & Environmental Data

However, recent Knowledge Centre on Earth Observation (KCEO) Deep Drive assessments “EO for Compliance Assurance” and requirements necessitated by EU AAOD reveal major blind spots in how we currently use this data to meet air quality and compliance standards.

Broad estimates, not local facts

Our emission tracking lacks the block-level detail cities actually need.

Fragmented risk intelligence

Air quality, heat, energy and climate risks are often assessed independently despite their interactions.

Blurred pollution sources

There is a struggle to clearly separate natural pollution (like dust) from human-made emissions.

Disconnected data

Information about common risks isn’t being shared effectively across different sectors.

e-genesis: Re-energising Cities, Reinforcing Urban Resilience

The initiative bridges space-based data and urban decision-making while prioritising integration in order to achieve evidence-based resilience across five domains.

01

How can energy drought be avoided?

By combining Artificial Intelligence with satellites data records, drops in wind, solar and hydropower performance can be registered, monitored and analysed to establish standardisation risk metrics. This way, renewable energy management becomes optimised, grid stability is no longer out of reach and long-term infrastructure investments are kept safeguarded.

02

How can cities actively prevent heat stress before extreme temperatures arrive?

Due to excessive human activities and modifications, metropolitan areas suffer from significantly warmer conditions. City centres can be up to 10°C warmer than rural surroundings, especially at night when concrete and asphalt release stored solar heat, according to the Copernicus Climate Change Service.

Thus, e-genesis moves beyond traditional Urban Heat Island (UHI) and Land Surface Temperature (LST) analyses to enable hyper-local, heat-resilient urban planning. To do so, a multifaceted modelling approach is introduced through pairing Surface Energy Balance physics with dynamic population mobility data at building block level.

03

How can the quality of air in urban settings be improved?

By integrating Copernicus Core Services, European Research Infrastructures (ACTRIS, EIRENE), and EarthCARE satellite profiles, e-genesis centralises urban air monitoring. To meet the Ambient Air Quality Directive (AAQD) standards, this multi-source framework delivers timely urban air quality assessments, dynamic population exposure metrics, and the precise source attribution needed to separate human-made pollution from natural background events. 

04

What about the impact of desert dust on health & solar yields?

Desert dust poses a twofold risk to Europe’s green path and public health. e-genesis employs Earth Observation climate records, C3S service enhancements, and machine learning to forecast long-term desert dust trends at seasonal and decadal levels. The result is actionable intelligence that protects solar energy production while strengthening public health protection.

05

Why are rough regional emissions estimates no longer sufficient for urban climate action?

City-wide CO2 averages only scratch the surface of urban emissions. e-genesis uses a fine-resolution monitoring framework to benchmark greenhouse gas inventories down to the block level. This micro-scale approach provides local authorities with evidence to validate mitigation policies, advance net-zero targets and strengthen urban resilience under the Land Use and Land Cover (LULC) governance framework.

What will e-genesis bring to the table?

e-genesis will produce complementary products to existing energy, air quality and urban climate services.

Energy Drought Forecasting
  • Pan-European and North African assessments of historical compound energy droughts
  • Daily, weekly and seasonal forecasts of compound energy droughts for selected municipalities
  • Climate projections of compound energy droughts at national level
  • Climate projections of desert dust over Europe
Air Quality & Human Exposure
  • Daily high-resolution aerosol optical depth (AOD) maps
  • Monthly, seasonal and annual PM₂.₅ and PM₁₀ concentration maps
  • Monthly, seasonal and annual population-weighted exposure maps for PM₂.₅ and PM₁₀
  • Daily, monthly, seasonal and annual heat-stress maps
  • Daily, monthly, seasonal and annual population exposure to heat stress
  • Combined exposure maps for air pollution and heat stress
  • “Warning area” maps based on multi-year trends
Urban CO₂ Emissions
  • Daily high-resolution maps of Scope 1 CO₂ emissions
  • Monthly, seasonal and annual maps of Scope 1 CO₂ emissions
Methodology

Resilience of Urban and Energy Sectors to Climate and Anthropogenic Disasters

EO & Climate, Energy & Urban Data
AI & Multi-Source Data Modelling
Energy Drought Assessment & Forecasting
Dust, Air Pollution & Heat-Stress Mapping
Population Exposure & Multi-Risk Assessment
Applied Urban & Energy Resilience Intelligence
TURNING EARTH INTELLIGENCE INTO REAL-WORLD IMPACT

Designed with communities

Cities & local authorities

Identify risks and support targeted resilience and adaptation measures.

Energy stakeholders

Anticipate compound energy risks and support resource planning.

Environmental & health authorities

Monitor air quality, pollution and climate-related impacts.

Policymakers & planners

Use integrated evidence for urban, climate and energy policy.